In the New Hampshire contest for the Republican US Senate nomination, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 13 points, 34% to 21%. Businessmen Bill Binnie and Jim Bender receive 17% and 13% respectively, the generic “another candidate” has 4%, and 11% are undecided. These results are based on an automated survey of 887 interviews of likely Republican and independent primary voters who intend to vote in the September 14th primary. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.3% at the 95% confidence interval. The interviews for the survey were conducted on Wednesday night, September 1st.
There is little difference in the ballot test between men and women, but a significant difference in candidate support between Republican and independent voters. Among all Republican voters, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 16 points, 37% to 21%. Among independent voters, Kelly Ayotte has a 2 point lead on Bill Binnie, 26% to 24%, and Ovide Lamontagne is a close third with 21%. The ballot test among self described fiscal conservatives is similar to the overall ballot test, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne, 33% to 23%. Among self described social conservatives it is a tighter race, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 5 points, 32% to 27%.
Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.
NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Release 090110
NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Topline Results 090110
NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Crosstabs 090110
NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Presentation 090110