New Hampshire GOP Primary Survey (9/1/10)

In the New Hampshire contest for the Republican US Senate nomination, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 13 points, 34% to 21%. Businessmen Bill Binnie and Jim Bender receive 17% and 13% respectively, the generic “another candidate” has 4%, and 11% are undecided. These results are based on an automated survey of 887 interviews of likely Republican and independent primary voters who intend to vote in the September 14^th primary. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.3% at the 95% confidence interval. The interviews for the survey were conducted on Wednesday night, September 1^st.

There is little difference in the ballot test between men and women, but a significant difference in candidate support between Republican and independent voters. Among all Republican voters, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 16 points, 37% to 21%. Among independent voters, Kelly Ayotte has a 2 point lead on Bill Binnie, 26% to 24%, and Ovide Lamontagne is a close third with 21%. The ballot test among self described fiscal conservatives is similar to the overall ballot test, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne, 33% to 23%. Among self described social conservatives it is a tighter race, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 5 points, 32% to 27%.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Release 090110