Louisville, CO– Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released an autodial survey of likely 1,451 Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary in the state of New Hampshire. The survey was commissioned by NHJournal.com.
The survey finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leading potential challengers with 39% support. Former Alaska Governor and 2008 Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin is second with 16%, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is third with 10%. Following the top three include former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 8%, Congressman Ron Paul with 7%, and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty with 4%. The bottom two candidates include former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum with 3%, and Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour with 1%. The generic “another candidate” has 4% and 8% responded as undecided.
This survey is a very early measurement of the potential 2012 Republican Presidential primary field. Mitt Romney’s strength is not surprising considering his strong second place finish to John McCain in 2008, and his regional advantage of being a former Governor of a state bordering New Hampshire. Many political observers have commented on the “late” start of potential 2012 Presidential primary candidates in comparison to the 2008 Presidential primary. We agree with this observation, and view the survey results as an “uninformed” snapshot of likely New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary voter opinion.
Download survey press release, topline results, crosstabs and presentation below.
NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Release 010611
NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results 010411
NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 010411
NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Presentation 010511