North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey (9/12/11)

CORRECTION TO CROSSTABS AS OF 4:42EST, SEPTEMBER 12TH , 2011

Our initial set of crosstabs this morning contained an error in the “Other” column under the ”RACE” tabs. The initial set of crosstabs showed the same number of BLACK respondents (194), in the OTHER column within the RACE category. This errror has been corrected, and the tabs now show the correct number of OTHER respondents as 18. THIS ERROR CORRECTION DOES NOT CHANGE THE RESPONSE PERCENTAGES FOR ANY QUESTION IN THE SURVEY. The error only reflected an incorrect number of respondents for “other” responses within the race category. Any further questions regarding this error should be directed to David Flaherty at 303-861-8585 or dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com.

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 923 likely 2012 North Carolina general election voters. The survey finds likely 2012 North Carolina voters in a very pessimistic mood, with 70% thinking the country is off on the wrong track, and only 23% thinking things are headed in the right direction. Independent voters feel slightly worse than all respondents, with only 13% believing that things are headed in the right direction.

The Obama-Romney ballot test finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by 2 points, 45% to 43% respectively, a statistical tie. Looking at the results by major voter subgroup, we see Barack Obama doing well among female voters and very well among African-American voters. Mitt Romney is doing well among seniors, independents, voters aged 18 to 34, and white voters.

The Obama-Perry ballot test finds Barack Obama leading Rick Perry by 5 points, with 48% of respondents supporting the President, and 43% supporting Rick Perry.

The Perdue-McCrory ballot test finds Pat McCrory leading Governor Perdue by 1 point, a statistical tie, with 44% of respondents supporting Pat McCrory, and 43%, supporting Beverly Perdue. Pat McCrory is doing well among independents, voters aged 18-34 and white voters, and Beverly Perdue does well among African American voters.

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs, and presentation below

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey Release 091211