Magellan Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 645 likely 2012 Nebraska general election voters fielded on November 20th and 21st. The survey measured image ratings and ballot tests of incumbent Democrat Senator Ben Nelson, and Republican candidates Jon Bruning, Don Stenberg, and Deb Fischer. The survey also included Republican Governor Dave Heineman, although he announced in November of 2010 that he would not be a candidate for the US Senate in 2012.
Among the three announced Republican candidates tested in the survey, Attorney General Jon Bruning is currently the strongest candidate to face Ben Nelson, with 45% supporting Jon Bruning and 39% supporting Ben Nelson, and 16% of respondents undecided. The Nelson-Stenberg ballot test is a statistical tie, with Don Stenberg leading Ben Nelson by one point, 41% to 40% respectively. Ben Nelson leads State Senator Deb Fischer by 6 points, 41% to 35% respectively.
The strongest Republican candidate that is not in the US Senate race is Governor Dave Heineman. In this hypothetical matchup the survey finds Dave Heineman leading Ben Nelson by 18 points, 51% to 33% respectively. Dave Heineman is the only Republican candidate tested that wins a plurality of independent voters.
Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.