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A Trump District, Explained

By |April 10th, 2017|Categories: Election Analysis, Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , , , |

Of all the different angles we can take in analyzing the 2016 presidential vote and the election of Donald Trump, one of the more interesting is to drill down to the level of our [...]

Colorado Republican Primary Survey: The Trump Effect

By |March 9th, 2017|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , |

Download Survey Toplines and Crosstabs         Ever since President Trump prevailed in the Republican presidential primaries last summer, and especially in the months following his election last November, hardly a day [...]

Wisconsin 2018 U.S. Senate General Election and Republican Primary Survey Release

By |February 21st, 2017|Categories: Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , , |

Download Full Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs Wisconsin 2018 General Election and Republican Primary Survey Results Magellan Strategies has released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely [...]

Is It Finally Time for a Colorado Democratic Party Battle?

By |January 19th, 2017|Categories: Election Analysis|Tags: , , , , |

Over the past few episodes of our podcast we’ve discussed the women’s marches and the anti-Trump sentiment sweeping across the country, and tried to work out what implications the energy displayed in those marches [...]

Why Didn’t Donald Trump Win Colorado?

By |January 18th, 2017|Categories: Election Analysis|Tags: , , |

2016 Presidential Election Results by County When examining the outlook for our local political parties, there is too often a tendency to “nationalize” our perspective. For example, many Colorado Republicans will savor [...]

Election Day Turnout in Colorado, What Will the Vote Look Like?

By |November 7th, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , |

What Will Voter Turnout in Colorado Look Like on Election Day? This blog post provides demographic turnout information on Election Day from the 2012, 2014 and 2008 election cycles in Colorado. Although we are [...]

Minimum Wage / Amendment 70 Voter Opinion Survey Nov. 4th

By |November 4th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs Colorado Minimum Wage / Amendment 70 Survey Results Magellan Strategies has released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely 2016 general election [...]

Raise The Bar / Amendment 71 Voter Opinion Survey Nov. 4th

By |November 4th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs   Raise the Bar / Amendment 71 Survey Results Magellan Strategies has released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely 2016 general election [...]

Colorado 2016 Presidential Voter Opinion Survey Nov. 3rd

By |November 3rd, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs Colorado 2016 US President Survey Release Magellan Strategies has released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely 2016 general election voters [...]

What Will Colorado Election Day Turnout Look Like?

By |November 1st, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , |

How Many People Are Going to Vote in Colorado on Election Day? Colorado voters are returning their ballots at a strong pace. Today the overall count of ballots returned exceeded 1 million, and 120,634 [...]

Colorado Senate Districts 19 and 26 Ballot Return Reports

By |October 28th, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , |

Click Here to Download Senate District 19 Returned Ballot Report for Oct. 28th Click Here to Download Senate District 26 Returned Ballot Report for Oct. 28th Quick Analysis of Colorado Senate District 19 [...]

Final Colorado 2016 Returned Ballot Report Nov 9th

By |October 24th, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , |

Download Final Colorado Returned Ballot Report Nov 9th, 2016 A Final Review of Colorado Ballot Returns on November 9th I think it is safe to say we are not the only ones in total [...]

Colorado 2016 Presidential and US Senate Voter Opinion Survey

By |October 18th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs 2016 Colorado Presidential and US Senate Survey Results Magellan Strategies has released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely 2016 general [...]

There is Hope for Voter Opinion Research Using Facebook

By |September 22nd, 2016|Categories: How to Conduct Voter Opinion Polls and Survey Research|Tags: , , , , |

Voter Opinion Research Using Facebook Has Great Potential If you are a likely voter who happens to be 44 or younger, I implore you to participate in my telephone survey. Unfortunately for me, I [...]

David Flaherty Colorado Election Presentation at Centennial Institute

By |September 20th, 2016|Categories: Magellan Strategies In the News|Tags: , |

David Flaherty gave a presentation about the 2016 election in Colorado at the Centennial Institute on September 19th. His presentation covered voter demographic trends in Colorado and the hurdles facing the Republican Party to attract [...]

Colorado 2016 U.S. Senate Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 13th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs Magellan Strategies 2016 Colorado U.S. Senate Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general election voters [...]

Colorado 2016 Presidential Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 8th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs Magellan Strategies 2016 Colorado Presidential Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general election voters [...]

Raise The Bar / Amendment 71 Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 7th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs     Amendment 71 Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general election voters in Colorado. [...]

Colorado Presidential Primary / Prop 107 Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 7th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs   Proposition 107 Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general election voters in Colorado. The interviews [...]

Colorado Minimum Wage / Amendment 70 Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 6th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs     Colorado Minimum Wage / Amendment 70 Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general [...]

ColoradoCare / Amendment 69 Voter Opinion Survey

By |September 6th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , , , |

Download Survey Summary, Toplines and Tabs   Amendment 69 Survey Results Magellan Strategies today released the results of a live landline and cell phone survey of 500 likely general election voters in Colorado. The [...]

Are Colorado Republicans Going to Vote This November?

By |August 23rd, 2016|Categories: Campaign Consulting, Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , , , , |

What's the million dollar question for Colorado political pundits, reporters, campaign professionals and pollsters this election cycle?  If you ask the team here at Magellan Strategies it is ... drum roll please ... How many Colorado [...]

The Huge Benefits of Using Modeled Voter Data

By |August 15th, 2016|Categories: Campaign Consulting, Political Data Mining, Microtargeting and Voter Modeling|Tags: , , , , , , , , |

Using modeled voter data to target voters can provide huge benefits and advantages for a political campaign. If you have ever managed or worked on a political campaign it is likely you had to make [...]

4 Things Every Ballot Initiative Should Have to Win Voter Approval

By |August 4th, 2016|Categories: Campaign Consulting|Tags: , , , , , |

The Colorado Constitution contains a provision called the Taxpayer Bill of Rights, or "TABOR", which requires state, local and county governments to obtain voter approval to issue bonds (increase debt), increase a mill levy [...]

Automated Voice Recorded Voter Opinion Surveys: The Good and The Bad

By |July 28th, 2016|Categories: How to Conduct Voter Opinion Polls and Survey Research|Tags: , , , , , , , |

Political candidates, campaign professionals, political observers and the media refer to automated voice recorded surveys in many different ways. These include "IVR (interactive voice recorded) survey", "flash poll", "robo-poll", or a "push-button poll". These [...]

Want to Court the Unaffiliated Colorado Female Voter? The Official Guide is Here!

By |July 21st, 2016|Categories: Campaign Consulting|Tags: , , , , , |

With the Republican Convention in full swing and the Democratic Convention on the horizon, political advertisements will soon be unleashed in full force. Anywhere you might be influenced, you can guarantee that candidates will  seek [...]

The Truth: Why Online Sample Sucks for Voter Opinion Surveys

By |July 21st, 2016|Categories: How to Conduct Voter Opinion Polls and Survey Research|Tags: , , , |

As a political pollster I often get asked by clients and the media if Magellan Strategies uses online sample for voter opinion surveys. This is a very good question, and shows that people are aware [...]

Democratic Legislative Candidate Highlights Issue of Family Safety and Security

By |July 19th, 2016|Categories: Campaign Consulting|Tags: , , |

Last Sunday I came home from picking my kids up from camp and found a palm card on my doorstep from a Democratic legislative candidate. It always surprises me when a Democratic candidate leaves something [...]

Democrats Outpace Republicans by 11,000 Among New Registrants in Colorado

By |July 18th, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , |

From November of 2006 to November of 2008, the Obama campaign, the Democratic Party and Democrat-leaning organizations executed a voter registration drive that yielded huge gains for Democratic registration in Colorado. With 60 field offices, [...]

The 610,223 Inactive Voters of Colorado: Younger and Unaffiliated

By |July 13th, 2016|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|Tags: , , , , |

One underreported aspect of the upcoming Presidential election here in Colorado is the impact of the Voter Access and Modernized Elections Act. This law was enacted in 2013, so it’s not exactly new, [...]

Why Some Pollsters Get it Wrong

By |July 7th, 2016|Categories: How to Conduct Voter Opinion Polls and Survey Research|Tags: , , , , |

In an uncertain election cycle like 2016, political pollsters are putting forth their best efforts to accurately predict the outcome of elections across the country, including a volatile and unpredictable Presidential race. [...]

Republicans Hate Republicans – It’s Even Worse Than You Thought

By |April 28th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , |

This post is our last data release from a Survey of likely Republican Primary voters in CO that was fielded on April 5th and 6th (margin of error +/- 3.97%).  To reiterate, Magellan [...]

What Kind of Sample is Best for a Voter Opinion Survey?

By |April 28th, 2016|Categories: How to Conduct Voter Opinion Polls and Survey Research|Tags: |

Random Digit Dialing vs. List Based Voter Sample It's not an uncommon question, exactly how do pollsters and obtain telephone numbers or sample for their voter opinion surveys?  We are glad you asked. [...]

The Donald Trump Effect: Cleveland Decisions and Impacts to GOP Turnout in November

By |April 25th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , , |

This post is a continuation of our data release from a survey of likely Republican Primary voters in CO that was fielded on April 5th and 6th (margin of error +/- 3.97%).  To [...]

The Donald Trump Effect: Not a Politician and Dominating on Immigration

By |April 20th, 2016|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , |

Here at Magellan Strategies we strive to generate research projects that are not only interesting, but more importantly are relevant to our clients. For our clients here in Colorado, there is very [...]

The GOP’s Challenges Among Younger Voters in Colorado

By |December 10th, 2015|Categories: Voter Registration and Turnout Data Analysis and Trends|

Lost amid the day-to-day media coverage of the chaotic battle for the Republican Presidential nomination, and the latest activities of Hillary Clinton’s campaign is an important shift in Colorado’s voter registration trends that will likely [...]

How Do You Get Conservatives to Pass a Tax Increase?

By |November 6th, 2015|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies Public Polls|Tags: , , |

On November 3rd a remarkable thing happened that most political observers in Colorado would not have believed, the fiscally conservative voters of Colorado Springs overwhelmingly voted for a .62% sales tax increase, 65% to [...]

David Flaherty Interview With Jon Caldara Discussing Colorado Unaffiliated Women Survey

By |June 2nd, 2015|Categories: Campaign Consulting, Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies In the News|Tags: , , , |

Magellan Strategies CEO David Flaherty recently sat down with Jon Caldara on KBDI's Devil's Advocate to discuss the all important unaffiliated women voting segment in Colorado.

Magellan Strategies CEO David Flaherty’s Interview with Jon Caldara on Devil’s Advocate

By |January 7th, 2015|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research, Magellan Strategies In the News|

Magellan Strategies CEO David Flaherty recently sat down with Jon Caldara on KBDI's Devil's Advocate to discuss Colorado politics in the wake of the 2014 General Election and the current state of political polling. Discussed [...]

Colorado 2014 Post-Election Survey of Unaffiliated Women Voters

By |December 16th, 2014|Categories: Colorado Voter Opinion Polls & Survey Research|Tags: , |

This document is a summary of a post-election landline and cell phone survey of 500 unaffiliated women voters in Colorado that voted in the 2014 general election. The interviews were conducted on November 17th and 18th, [...]

Maine Governor Voter Opinion Survey

By |October 30th, 2014|Categories: Magellan Strategies Public Polls|

Magellan Strategies today released an automated survey of 869 likely general election voters in Maine. The survey was fielded on October 23rd and 24th and has a margin of error of +/- 3.32% at the [...]