Arizona General Election Survey (5/3/12)

Louisville, CO – Magellan Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 909 likely Arizona general election voters.  The survey was commissioned by Arizona political consulting firm DC London, Inc.  The survey was fielded on April 30th, May 1st, and May 2nd, and has a margin of error of 3.25% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  The survey measures voter opinion among a wide array of issues and election contests, including the Presidential and US Senate match-ups.

The media has indicated recently that Arizona is in play for the 2012 Presidential election.  In the 2008 election President Obama won 45% of the vote to John McCain’s 54%, a margin of 9%.  This survey finds a similar spread among likely 2012 general election voters in Arizona, with 52% supporting Mitt Romney, 43% supporting Barack Obama and 5% responding undecided.

Download Survey Press Release, Topline and Crosstab Results Below

Magellan Arizona General Election Survey Press Release 050312

Magellan Arizona General Election Survey Crosstabs Release 050312

 

Arizona 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Survey (11/16/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an automated landline phone survey of 722 likely 2012 Arizona Republican primary voters and independent voters that intend to vote in the Republican primary. At this early stage in the primary election, Congressman Jeff Flake leads likely challengers by 44 points with 52%, and 31% responding they definitely intend to vote for him. The generic “some other candidate” has 8%, businessman Will Cardon has 4%, and radio host Clair Van Steenwyk has 2%. Businessman Doug McKee and former Youngstown Mayor Bryan Hackbarth have 1% and 32% responded as undecided.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

AZ 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Election Survey Press Release 111611

AZ 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Election Survey Topline Results 111611

AZ 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Election Survey Crosstabs 111611

AZ 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Election Survey Presentation 111611

Arizona US Senate GOP Primary Survey (6/24/10)

Among likely Republican primary voters in Arizona, Senator John McCain leads former Congressman JD Hayworth by 23 points, 52% to 29%, 14% support “another candidate” and 5% are undecided.  These numbers are based on a Magellan Strategies automated survey of 1,139 likely Republican primary voters on June 22nd.   With two months to go before the August 24thprimary, it is clear that John McCain is in a strong position, especially among a vital voter subgroup, seniors.  Voters that are 65 and older will constitute 45% of the overall Republican primary vote, and John McCain currently enjoys a 32 point lead over JD Hayworth, 55% to 23%.  JD Hayworth’s strongest base of support is coming from male voters aged 18 to 54, but John McCain still leads among the voter subgroup, 41% to 38%.

2012 GOP Nomination Ballot Test
Among likely Republican primary voters, Mitt Romney leads Sarah Palin 29% to 18%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 16%, Mike Huckabee with 14%, Ron Paul with 5%, Tim Pawlenty with 3%, Rick Santorum with 2% and 14% of respondents are undecided.

Download survey press release toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

AZ US Senate Republican Primary Survey Release 062410

AZ US Senate Repubican Primary Survey Topline Results 062410

AZ US Senate Republican Primary Survey Crosstabs 062410

AZ US Senate Republican Primary Survey Presentation 062410