Magellan Strategies » Colorado

Colorado Springs Mayoral Run-Off Election Survey (5/12/11)

Admin — Thu, 12 May 2011 15:24:22 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 755N autodial survey of likely general election voters in Colorado Springs. The interviews were conducted May 9^th -10^th, 2011. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.56% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2010 and 2006 general election cycles.

Download survey toplines and presentation below.

Colorado Springs Mayoral Run-Off Election Survey Topline Results 051111

Colorado Springs Mayor Run-Off Survey Presentation 051111

Colorado Governor Survey (10/22/10)

Admin — Fri, 22 Oct 2010 17:30:12 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 1,067 likely voters in the state of Colorado looking at the race for Governor. The findings show Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper and former Congressman Tom Tancredo in a statistical tie. Among likely voters, Democrat John Hickenlooper has 44%, American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo has 43%, and embattled Republican candidate Dan Maes has 9% support. The generic “other candidate” has 2%, and only 2% responded as undecided.

Since our Colorado Governor survey on August 25^th, support for Dan Maes has plummeted from 27% to 9%, a total of 18 points. It is clear the vast majority of former Dan Maes supporters are moving into the Tom Tancredo column. Since our August survey, support for Tom Tancredo has increased from 17% to 43%, a total of 27 points. John Hickenlooper has not been able to reach the crucial 50% threshold, and has in fact dropped 2 points since our August survey, from 46% to 44%.

Download survey press release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Colorado Governor Survey Release 102210

Colorado Governor Survey Topline Results 102210

Colorado Governor Survey Crosstabs 102210

Colorado 15th Senate District Survey (10/21/10)

Admin — Thu, 21 Oct 2010 22:28:58 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of an 818N autodial survey of likely general election voters in Colorado Senate District 15. The interviews were conducted October 19^th, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.41% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

Download survey topline and crosstab results below.

Colorado Senate District 15 Survey Topline Results 102210

Colorado Senate District 15 Survey Crosstabs 101910

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey (9/29/10)

Admin — Wed, 29 Sep 2010 12:44:01 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 688N survey of likely 2010 general election voters in Colorado’s Second Congressional District. The interviews were conducted September 20^th, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.73% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

Among all voters, 43% think that things in the country are headed in the right direction and 57% think things are off on the wrong track. Male voters are more pessimistic than female voters, with 63% responding that things are on the wrong track and 37%. Among female voters 49% think things are headed in the right direction and 51% think things are on the wrong track. Among unaffiliated voters 37% think things are headed in the right direction and 63% think things are on the wrong track. Democrat voters have a much different view of the direction of the country than Republican or unaffiliated voters, with 71% responding things are going in the right direction and only 29% thinking things are on the wrong track.

Among all voters, 44% of respondents prefer the Democrat candidate and 42% the Republican candidate. These numbers are reflective of the poor mood nationally for the Democrat party, and taking into account the turnout demographics for this district are 40% Democrat, 29% Republican and 31% unaffiliated. Among unaffiliated voters 32% prefer the Democrat candidate and 45% prefer the Republican candidate. Clearly these are not good news for Democrat incumbent Jared Polis.

Despite the poor environment for incumbents, Jared Polis maintains a 12 point lead over Republican Stephen Bailey, 48% to 36%. There are stark differences in the ballot test between male and female voters. Among male voters, the Stephen Bailey leads Jared Polis by 1 point, 44% to 43%. Among female voters, Jared Polis leads by 23 points, 52% to 29%. With five weeks remaining in the election, and two weeks before absentee ballots go out, it would not be surprising to see this race tighten up.

Download survey press release and topline results below.

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey Release 092910

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey Topline Results 092910

Colorado Governor, Attorney General, Treasurer and Secretary of State Survey (8/31/10)

Admin — Tue, 31 Aug 2010 13:59:31 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of a 954N automated survey likely general election voters in Colorado conducted August 25th and August 26th. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence interval. The survey includes image ratings and a ballot test in the election for Governor, and ballot tests in the elections for Attorney General, Treasurer and Secretary of State.

In the election for Colorado Governor, among likely voters Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper leads Republican nominee Dan Maes by 19 points, 46% to 27%, and former Congressman Tom Tancredo is third with 17%. The generic “another candidate” receives 3% support, and 6% are undecided. These results are not much of a surprise, confirming Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, at this time, is in good position to win in a three way race with Dan Maes and Tom Tancredo. Looking at how the Republican vote breaks, we find Dan Maes leading Tom Tancredo by 32 points, 55% to 23%, and John Hickenlooper with 13%. Among unaffiliated voters John Hickenlooper leads by 26 points over Tom Tancredo 49% to 23%, and Dan Maes is third with 17%.

Download the survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

Colorado Statewide Survey Press Release 083010

Colorado Statewide Survey Topline Results 083110

Colorado Statewide Survey Crosstabs 083110

Colorado Statewide Survey Presentation Release 083110

Colorado 7th Congressional District Survey (8/27/10)

Admin — Fri, 27 Aug 2010 16:19:23 +0000

Among likely general election voters in the 7^thCongressional District of Colorado Republican candidate Ryan Frazier has a one point lead over Democrat Congressman Ed Perlmutter, 40% to 39% respectively. Ten percent of voters support “another candidate” and 11% are undecided. The ballot test results are based on an automated survey of 830 likely general election voters in the 7^th Congressional District fielded Thursday, August 26^th. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence interval. Ryan Frazier has an 8 point lead among male voters and Ed Perlmutter leads by 4 points among women. Among the key voting subgroup of unaffiliated voters, Ryan Frazier leads by 10 points, 37% to 27%.

Download the survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

CO 7th Congressional District Survey Release 082710

CO CD07 Survey Topline Results 082710

CO CD07 Survey Crosstabs 082710

CO CD7 Survey Presentation 082710

Colorado US Senate GOP Primary Survey (7/21/10)

Admin — Tue, 27 Jul 2010 13:00:01 +0000

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present this executive summary of an automated survey of 759 likely Colorado Republican primary voters. The interviews were conducted on July 21^st. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.5% at the 95% confidence interval. The survey results are weighted to reflect past Republican primary turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

Among likely Republican primary voters in Colorado, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck leads former Lt. Governor Jane Norton by 9 points, 46% to 37%, and 17% remain undecided. Since our last survey on June 8^th Ken Buck’s support has increased by 4 points from 42% to 46%, and Jane Norton’s support has increased by 5 points, from 32% to 37%. Among male voters Buck leads Norton by 11 points, 49% to 38%, among women Buck leads by 6 points, 42% to 36%.

Download the survey memorandum below.

Colorado US Senate GOP Primary Survey Memorandum 072210

Colorado US Senate GOP Primary Survey (6/8/10)

Admin — Thu, 10 Jun 2010 10:50:42 +0000

Among likely Republican primary voters in Colorado, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck leads former Lt. Governor Jane Norton, 42% to 32%, and 26% remain undecided. These results are based on a 1,026N automated survey conducted Tuesday, June 8^th. Since our first internal survey of likely Republican primary voters fielded on March 14^th, support for Ken Buck has increased by 27 points, from 15% to 42%. Support for Jane Norton has declined by 9 points, from 41% to 32%.

Download survey toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

CO US Senate Survey Release and Toplines 060910

CO GOP US Senate Primary Survey Crosstabs 060810

CO GOP US Senate Primary Survey Presentation 060810