Nebraska US Senate General Election Survey (1/15/12)

Louisville, CO – Magellan Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 675 likely Nebraska general election voters.  The survey was fielded on January 10th and 11th, and has a margin of error of 3.77% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  The survey looks at the strength of former Democrat Senator Bob Kerrey in ballot tests with Attorney General Jon Bruning and Treasurer Don Stenberg.  The survey also includes ballot tests of potential Democrat candidates State Representative Steve Lathrop, and former Lt. Governor Kim Robak.

Bob Kerrey’s high water mark of support is 40% in ballot tests that include Jon Bruning and Don Stenberg.  Among all respondents, 43% have a favorable opinion of Bob Kerrey, 43% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 11% have no opinion.  At this time, regardless of who Bob Kerrey runs against, he trails both Republican candidates.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs, and presentation below:

Nebraska US Senate Survey Press Release 011512

Nebraska US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results 011512

Nebraska US Senate General Election Survey Crosstabs 011512

Nebraska US Senate General Election Survey Presentation 011512

 

Nebraska 2012 US Senate General Election Survey (11/28/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 645 likely 2012 Nebraska general election voters fielded on November 20th and 21st.  The survey measured image ratings and ballot tests of incumbent Democrat Senator Ben Nelson, and Republican candidates Jon Bruning, Don Stenberg, and Deb Fischer.  The survey also included Republican Governor Dave Heineman, although he announced in November of 2010 that he would not be a candidate for the US Senate in 2012.

Among the three announced Republican candidates tested in the survey, Attorney General Jon Bruning is currently the strongest candidate to face Ben Nelson, with 45% supporting Jon Bruning and 39% supporting Ben Nelson, and 16% of respondents undecided.   The Nelson-Stenberg ballot test is a statistical tie, with Don Stenberg leading Ben Nelson by one point, 41% to 40% respectively.  Ben Nelson leads State Senator Deb Fischer by 6 points, 41% to 35% respectively.

The strongest Republican candidate that is not in the US Senate race is Governor Dave Heineman.  In this hypothetical matchup the survey finds Dave Heineman leading Ben Nelson by 18 points, 51% to 33% respectively.   Dave Heineman is the only Republican candidate tested that wins a plurality of independent voters.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

NE 2012 US Senate General Election Survey Press Release 112811

NE 2012 US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results 112811

NE 2012 US Senate General Election Survey Crosstabs 112811

NE 2012 US Senate General Election Survey Presentation 112811

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey (12/22/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 1,789 likely 2012 Nebraska general election voters.  The survey measured image and reelect ratings of Senator Ben Nelson, ballot tests with Attorney General Jon Bruning and Treasurer-Elect Don Stenberg.  In addition, the survey looked at voter opinion of the new health care law and Senator Nelson’s actions regarding the new health care law.   

What is clear is Senator Ben Nelson has his work cut out for him in his reelection bid for a second term.  Among likely 2012 voters, his image rating is slightly upside down, with 52% having an unfavorable impression of him and 43% having a favorable impression.  Senator Nelson’s re-elect rating is worse than his image rating, with only 29% of likely voters responding he deserves re-election and 59% responding it is time for someone new. 

Download full survey press release, topline and crosstabs below.

 Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Press Release 122210

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Topline Results 122210

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Crosstabs 122210

Nebraska Ben Nelson 2012-Elena Kagan Nomination Survey (7/19/10)

Baton Rouge, LA- Based on a Magellan Strategies survey of 855 likely voters conducted in Nebraska, an alarming 73% of voters think things in the country are on the wrong track and 63% of voters disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President.  Augmenting Obama’s problems in Nebraska is the fact that nearly a majority of voters (48%) oppose Elena Kagan’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.  Voters are less likely to support her nomination on the grounds that if nominated she would potentially rule in favor of President Obama’s health care bill (63% less likely) and as Dean of Harvard Law School she banned military recruiters from campus (62% less likely).  As voters also learn more about her lack of judicial experience, opposition to her nomination jumps by 12 points.

In a hypothetical 2012 U.S. Senate match-up, incumbent Ben Nelson would trail Governor Dave Heineman by 30 points if the election were held today (Heineman 58%/ Nelson 28%/ 15% Undecided).     Enlarging Nelson’s problem is a weak image.  Only 32% of Nebraska voters have a favorable opinion of him, while 57% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 

Download survey press release, toplines and crosstabs below.

NE 2012 US Senate – Kagan Nomination Survey Press Release 071910

NE 2012 US Senate – Kagan Nomination Survey Topline Results 071910

NE 2012 US Senate – Kagan Nomination Survey Crosstabs 071910