New Hampshire Republican Debate and 2012 Primary Survey (6/17/11)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies and NHJournal.com today released a New Hampshire autodial survey of 727 likely Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary.  The survey was commissioned by NHJournal.com. 

The survey finds Mitt Romney leading all announced and potential challengers with 42% support.  Congressman Ron Paul and Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann   are tied with 10%, and Sarah Palin has 7% support, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani has 6%.  Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty receives 5%, former CEO of Godfather’s Pizza Herman Cain with 4%, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 3%.  The bottom two candidates are former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman with 3%, and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum with 2%.  Eight percent of respondents are undecided.

Among respondents that watched Monday’s WMUR/Union Leader/Cdebate, 39% of voters think that Mitt Romney had the strongest performance.  Twenty eight percent think that Michele Bachmann had the strongest performance, and 8% think Ron Paul had the strongest performance.

Download Survey Press Release, Toplines, Crosstabs and Presentation Below

NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Debate Survey Release 061611

NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Debate Survey Topline Results 061611

NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Debate Survey Crosstabs 061611

NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Debate Survey Presentation 061611

Colorado Springs Mayoral Run-Off Election Survey (5/12/11)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 755N autodial survey of likely general election voters in Colorado Springs.  The interviews were conducted May 9th -10th, 2011.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.56% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2010 and 2006 general election cycles.

Download survey toplines and presentation below.

Colorado Springs Mayoral Run-Off Election Survey Topline Results 051111

Colorado Springs Mayor Run-Off Survey Presentation 051111

New Mexico 2012 US Senate Republican Primary Survey (4/28/11)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 801 likely 2012 New Mexico US Senate Republican primary voters. The survey finds former Congresswoman Heather Wilson starting off in a very strong position with a solid image rating of 84% of all respondents having a favorable opinion of her, 55% having a very favorable opinion of her, and only 12% having an unfavorable opinion. She is well known among all respondents with name recognition of 99%.

Potential candidate Lt. Governor John Sanchez also has a good image rating, but is lacking the intensity of Heather Wilson’s image rating numbers. Among all respondents, 58% have a favorable opinion of John Sanchez, 22% have a very favorable opinion, and 13% have an unfavorable opinion. He also has good name recognition of 88%.

Although it is very early, Heather Wilson currently leads John Sanchez by a commanding 42 points, 59% to 17%, Greg Sowards has 2% support, 11% support for “some other candidate”, and 11% are undecided.  Heather Wilson’s support also demonstrates a strong intensity, with 37% responding as “definitely voting for her”, compared to 9% definitely voting for John Sanchez. 

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

NM 2012 US Senate GOP Primary Survey Release 042811

NM 2012 US Senate GOP Primary Survey Topline Results 042811

NM 2012 US Senate GOP Primary Survey Crosstabs Results 042811

NM 2012 US Senate GOP Primary Survey Presentation 042811

Massachusetts 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Voter Opinion Survey of Mass Health Care Plan (4/28/11)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released an autodial survey of 740 likely 2012 Republican Presidential primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary in the state of Massachusetts.  The survey was commissioned by NHJournal.com.  

The survey finds a slight majority of 2012 Republican primary voters, 51%, having an unfavorable opinion of the Massachusetts Health Care Plan, and 34% having a very unfavorable opinion of the plan.  Thirty percent (30%) of all respondents have a favorable opinion of the plan, and only 15% have a very favorable opinion of the plan.  Among Republican voters, 50% have an unfavorable opinion of the plan, and 29% have a favorable opinion.  

Male respondents have a more unfavorable opinion of the Health Care Plan than women, 55% to 46% respectively. Among independent voters the differences between men and women is slightly larger, with 38% of independent men having a very unfavorable opinion of the plan, compared to 27% of independent women having a very unfavorable opinion.

Download the survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below

MA 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Release 042811

MA 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results 042811

MA 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 042811

MA 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Presentation 042811

New Hampshire 2012 General Election Survey (2/14/11)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies and NHJournal.com today released an autodial survey of 789 likely 2012 general election voters in the state of New Hampshire.  The survey included head to head ballot tests of President Obama and four, well known, potential 2012 Republican candidates.  In all four ballot tests President Obama’s lead ranges from 4 points to 23 points.  

Of the four ballot tests, Mitt Romney shows the most support when matched with President Obama among likely 2012 general election voters.  Among all respondents, President Obama leads Mitt Romney, 48% to 44% respectively, and 8% are undecided.  The ballot test between Mike Huckabee and President Obama shows the President leading by 13 points, 51% to 38%, and 11% undecided.  President Obama leads by 23 points in individual ballot tests with Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich.  

Looking at all four ballot tests by major voter subgroups we find President Obama in a strong position among women, self-identified moderates and independent voters.  All three of these subgroups are significant because each will contribute a sizeable portion to the overall 2012 general election vote.  With that said, it should to be pointed out that none of the four potential Republican candidates currently have active campaigns promoting themes and messages to attract likely general election voter support.

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

NH 2012 General Election Survey Release 021411

NH 2012 General Election Survey Topline Results 021111

NH 2012 General Election Survey Crosstabs 021111

NH 2012 General Election Survey Presentation 021111

New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey (1/6/11)

Louisville, CO– Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released an autodial survey of likely 1,451 Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary in the state of New Hampshire.  The survey was commissioned by NHJournal.com.  

The survey finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leading potential challengers with 39% support.  Former Alaska Governor and 2008 Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin is second with 16%, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is third with 10%. Following the top three include former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 8%, Congressman Ron Paul with 7%, and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty with 4%.  The bottom two candidates include former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum with 3%, and Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour with 1%.  The generic “another candidate” has 4% and 8% responded as undecided. 

This survey is a very early measurement of the potential 2012 Republican Presidential primary field.  Mitt Romney’s strength is not surprising considering his strong second place finish to John McCain in 2008, and his regional advantage of being a former Governor of a state bordering New Hampshire.  Many political observers have commented on the “late” start of potential 2012 Presidential primary candidates in comparison to the 2008 Presidential primary.  We agree with this observation, and view the survey results as an “uninformed” snapshot of likely New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary voter opinion.

Download survey press release, topline results, crosstabs and presentation below.

NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Release 010611

NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results 010411

NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 010411

NH 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Presentation 010511

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey (12/22/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 1,789 likely 2012 Nebraska general election voters.  The survey measured image and reelect ratings of Senator Ben Nelson, ballot tests with Attorney General Jon Bruning and Treasurer-Elect Don Stenberg.  In addition, the survey looked at voter opinion of the new health care law and Senator Nelson’s actions regarding the new health care law.   

What is clear is Senator Ben Nelson has his work cut out for him in his reelection bid for a second term.  Among likely 2012 voters, his image rating is slightly upside down, with 52% having an unfavorable impression of him and 43% having a favorable impression.  Senator Nelson’s re-elect rating is worse than his image rating, with only 29% of likely voters responding he deserves re-election and 59% responding it is time for someone new. 

Download full survey press release, topline and crosstabs below.

 Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Press Release 122210

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Topline Results 122210

Nebraska 2012 US Senate Survey Crosstabs 122210

New Hampshire 2012 Democrat Presidential Primary Survey (12/17/10)

Among likely 2012 New Hampshire Democrat and independent Presidential primary voters, it is no surprise that President Obama’s strongest opponent would be Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.  In a head to head ballot test of the former rivals, President Obama leads Hillary Clinton by 31 points, 59% to 28%.  These results are based on an automated survey of 1,002 likely Democrat and independent 2012 Presidential primary voters fielded December 14th and 15th. 

Two other hypothetical primary matchups were tested of former Vermont Governor Howard Dean and Vermont US Senator Bernie Sanders.  In both ballot tests, President Obama demonstrates strong support among Democrat primary voters.  The Obama-Dean ballot test finds President Obama with 78%, Howard Dean with 10% and 12% undecided.  The Obama-Sanders ballot test shows President Obama with 79%, Bernie Sanders with 8%, and 13% undecided.

Download survey release/topline results, crosstabs and presentation below.

NHJournal-Magellan New Hampshire 2012 Dem Presidential Primary Survey Release 121710

NHJournal-Magellan New Hampshire 2012 Democrat Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 121710

NHJournal-Magellan New Hampshire 2012 Democrat Presidential Primary Survey Presentation 121710

Louisiana US Senate Survey (10/25/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released a survey of 1,347 likely Louisiana voters looking at the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Senator David Vitter and Congressman Charlie Melancon.  The interviews were conducted Sunday, October 24th.  Among all voters, Senator Vitter maintains a 17 point lead over Congressman Charlie Melancon, 52% to 35%.  David Vitter leads among white voters by 43 points (66% Vitter/23% Melancon), among Republican voters by 80 points (86% Vitter/6% Melancon) and among independent voters by 13 points (47% Vitter/34% Melancon).  Charlie Melancon leads among African-American voters by 57 points (69% Melancon/12% Vitter) and among Democrat voters by 17 points (51% Melancon/34% Vitter).

Download survey release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Louisiana US Senate Survey Release 102510

Louisiana US Senate Survey Topline Results 102410

Louisiana US Senate Survey Crosstabs 102410

Colorado Governor Survey (10/22/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 1,067 likely voters in the state of Colorado looking at the race for Governor.  The findings show Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper and former Congressman Tom Tancredo in a statistical tie.  Among likely voters, Democrat John Hickenlooper has 44%, American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo has 43%, and embattled Republican candidate Dan Maes has 9% support.  The generic “other candidate” has 2%, and only 2% responded as undecided. 

Since our Colorado Governor survey on August 25th, support for Dan Maes has plummeted from 27% to 9%, a total of 18 points.  It is clear the vast majority of former Dan Maes supporters are moving into the Tom Tancredo column.  Since our August survey, support for Tom Tancredo has increased from 17% to 43%, a total of 27 points.  John Hickenlooper has not been able to reach the crucial 50% threshold, and has in fact dropped 2 points since our August survey, from 46% to 44%.

Download survey press release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Colorado Governor Survey Release 102210

Colorado Governor Survey Topline Results 102210

Colorado Governor Survey Crosstabs 102210

Colorado 15th Senate District Survey (10/21/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of an 818N autodial survey of likely general election voters in Colorado Senate District 15.  The interviews were conducted October 19th, 2010.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.41% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

Download survey topline and crosstab results below.

Colorado Senate District 15 Survey Topline Results 102210

Colorado Senate District 15 Survey Crosstabs 101910

Nevada US Senate Survey (10/4/10)

Nevada US Senate survey release.  Download survey toplines and crosstabs below.

NVSEN-100410 US Senate Survey Topline Results Release 100410

NVSEN-100410 US Senate Survey Crosstabs Release 100410

Pennsylvania Governor Survey (10/14/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released a survey of 1,766 likely Pennsylvania voters.  Among all voters, Attorney General and Republican nominee Tom Corbett leads Democrat nominee and Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato by 10 points, 48% to 38%, the generic “some other candidate receives 3% and 11% remain undecided.  Among male voters Tom Corbett leads by 15 points, 52% to 37%.  Among female voters Tom Corbett leads by 6 points, 45% to 39%.  Among independent voters Tom Corbett leads by 12 points, 46% to 34%. 

Download survey press release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Pennsylvania Governor Survey Release 101410

Pennsylvania Governor Survey Topline Results 101010

Pennsylvania Governor Survey Crosstabs 101010

Delaware US Senate Survey (10/12/10)

Today Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies released a survey of 928 likely Delaware general election voters looking at the U.S. Senate race between Democrat Chris Coons and Republican Christine O’Donnell.  Among all voters, New Castle County Executive Chris Coons leads Christine O’Donnell by 18 points, 54% to 36%.  Chris Coons currently maintains a lead among Democrat and independent voters of 65 points and 17 points respectively.  Christine O’Donnell leads among Republican voters by 39 points, 63% to 24%.  Among male voters the race is a statistical tie, with 47% supporting Chris Coons and 46% supporting Christine O’Donnell.  Among female voters Christine O’Donnell trails Chris Coons by a huge 32 point margin, 60% to 28%. 

Download survey press release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Delaware US Senate Survey Press Release 101210

Delaware US Senate Survey Topline Results 101010

Delaware US Senate Survey Crosstabs 101010

Louisiana US Senate Survey (10/12/10)

Today Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies released a survey of 1,107 likely Louisiana general election voters looking at the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Senator David Vitter and Congressman Charlie Melancon.  Among all voters, Senator Vitter maintains a 16 point lead over Congressman Charlie Melancon, 51% to 35%.  Sen. Vitter leads among white voters by 43 points (65% Vitter/23% Melancon), among Republican voters by 80 points (86% Vitter/6% Melancon) and among Independent voters by 26 points (50% Vitter/24% Melancon).  Charlie Melancon leads among African-American voters by 58 points (71% Melancon/12% Vitter) and among Democrat voters by 21 points (54% Melancon/33% Vitter).

Download survey press release, topline results and crosstabs below.

Louisiana US Senate Survey Press Release 101210

Louisiana US Senate Survey Topline Results 101010

Louisiana US Senate Survey Crosstabs 101010

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey (9/29/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 688N survey of likely 2010 general election voters in Colorado’s Second Congressional District.  The interviews were conducted September 20th, 2010.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.73% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.

Among all voters, 43% think that things in the country are headed in the right direction and 57% think things are off on the wrong track.  Male voters are more pessimistic than female voters, with 63% responding that things are on the wrong track and 37%.  Among female voters 49% think things are headed in the right direction and 51% think things are on the wrong track.  Among unaffiliated voters 37% think things are headed in the right direction and 63% think things are on the wrong track.  Democrat voters have a much different view of the direction of the country than Republican or unaffiliated voters, with 71% responding things are going in the right direction and only 29% thinking things are on the wrong track.

Among all voters, 44% of respondents prefer the Democrat candidate and 42% the Republican candidate.  These numbers are reflective of the poor mood nationally for the Democrat party, and taking into account the turnout demographics for this district are 40% Democrat, 29% Republican and 31% unaffiliated.  Among unaffiliated voters 32% prefer the Democrat candidate and 45% prefer the Republican candidate.  Clearly these are not good news for Democrat incumbent Jared Polis.

Despite the poor environment for incumbents, Jared Polis maintains a 12 point lead over Republican Stephen Bailey, 48% to 36%.  There are stark differences in the ballot test between male and female voters.  Among male voters, the Stephen Bailey leads Jared Polis by 1 point, 44% to 43%.  Among female voters, Jared Polis leads by 23 points, 52% to 29%.  With five weeks remaining in the election, and two weeks before absentee ballots go out, it would not be surprising to see this race tighten up.

Download survey press release and topline results below.

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey Release 092910

Colorado 2nd Congressional District Survey Topline Results 092910

City of Alameda California Survey (9/27/10)

Louisville, CO–September 27, 2010– Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released survey results of 383 interviews with likely general election voters in the City of Alameda.  The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.98% at the 95% confidence interval.  The survey was fielded on September 20th and 21st. 

To capture the full range of issue priorities, we asked voters an open-ended issue priority question. The top two open-ended issue priorities were: education/education funding and Alameda Point development.  Another section of the survey listed voter priority issues for respondents to choose from. The top three listed responses were: bringing new jobs to Alameda, city spending and wasting taxpayer dollars. These responses point to voter concerns around the management of taxpayer dollars, either through education funding or through frivolous spending of taxpayer dollars.

Survey results also revealed where the Alameda mayoral election stands. Alameda likely voters were asked about their current preference for Alameda mayor and were able to choose their preference from a list of all candidates. For mayor, the survey found Gilmore and DeHaan in position one and two, at 18% and 17% respectively.

Download the survey press release, topline results and verbatim responses below.

City of Alameda California Survey News Release 092710

City of Alameda California Survey Topline Results 092710

City of Alameda California Survey Education Verbatim Responses 092710

City of Alameda California Survey Alameda Point Verbatim Responses 092710

City of Alameda California Survey Budget Verbatim Responses 092710

Pennsylvania US Senate and Governor Survey (9/27/10)

Today Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies released survey results in the state of Pennsylvania of likely general electon voters.  The survey of 1,430 respondents finds:

- Congressional generic ballot, Republican candidate with 47%, Democrat candidate 37%.

- Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorat0 by 12 points, 50% to 38% respectively.

- Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joes Sestak by 8 points, 49% to 41% respectively.

- President Barack Obama’s job approval is upside down, with 39% of repsondennts approving of the job he is doing, 53% disapprove.

 

This survey of 1,430 likely voters was fielded on Tuesday, September 21 and has a margin of error of +/- 2.59% at the 95% confidence interval.  The survey was conducted by Magellan Partner John Diez.

Download survey press release and crosstabs below.

PA Senate and Governor Survey Press Release 092410

PA Senate and Governor Survey Crosstabs 092410

 

Gloucester County New Jersey Survey (9/23/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 985N automated survey of likely general election voters in Gloucester County, New Jersey.  The interviews were conducted September 15th and 16th, 2010.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.11% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  The survey results were weighted to reflect past voting demographics from the 2009 general election cycle.

Summary
Despite Gloucester County being a heavily Democrat County, Republican Freeholder and local Republican township council candidates have a very good opportunity to make gains this November.  It is clear that the success of Republican candidates like Governor Chris Christie and Assemblyman Domenick DiCicco in 2009 were no fluke. 

The generic “local township ballot test” finds voters preferring the Republican candidate to the Democrat candidate 40% to 35%.  The ballot test for freeholder is a statistical tie, with Republican candidates Larry Wallace (17%) and Vince Nestore (16%) within the margin of error with Democrat candidates Robert Zimmerman (16%) and Heather Simmons (15%).  None of the four candidates are well known, with only 25% to 35% of likely voters having an opinion of each candidate. 

Governor Christie has a solid image rating considering 50% of respondents are Democrats.  Among all voters, 49% have a favorable opinion of him and 44% have an unfavorable opinion.  Among Democrat voters, 30% have a favorable image of the Governor.  Senate President/Gloucester County Freeholder Director Stephen Sweeney is another story.  His image rating, and is “upside down”.  Among all voters, 37% have a favorable opinion of him and 42% have an unfavorable opinion.  Among Democrat voters 30% have an unfavorable opinion of him.  It appears he has lost the public relations battle with Governor Christie in Trenton over the state budget, while negative stories surrounding the Gloucester County Freeholder Board’s repeated violations of the Open Public Meetings Law and the ongoing DRPA scandal have damaged him.

Download survey press release and topline results below.

Gloucester County NJ Survey Press Release 092310

Louisiana US Senate Survey (9/20/10)

In Louisiana, Senator David Vitter maintains an 18 point lead over Congressman Charlie Melancon, 52% to 34%, based on an automated survey fielded September 19th of likely general election voters.  Among white voters, David Vitter leads by 44 points (66% Vitter/22% Melancon).  Among Republican voters, David Vitter leads by 81 points (86% Vitter/5% Melancon), and among independent voters, David Vitter leads by 28 points (52% Vitter/24% Melancon).  Charlie Melancon’s strongest base of support is among African American voters, where he leads by 65 points (73% Melancon/8% Vitter).  Among Democrat voters, Charlie Melancon leads David Vitter by 17 points (51% Melancon/34% Vitter).  The following table shows the ballot by voter subgroups.

Download survey release, toplines and crosstabs below.

LA US Senate Survey Release 092010

LA US Senate Survey Topline Results 092010

LA US Senate Survey Crosstabs 092010

New Hampshire GOP Primary Survey (9/13/10)

In our final poll of the New Hampshire Republican primary for US Senate, we find Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 4 points, 35% to 31%.  Bill Binnie is third with 14%, Jim Bender with 10%, the generic “another candidate” receives 3%, and 7% are undecided.  These results are based on a September 12th automated survey of 1,083 likely Republican and independent primary voters who intend to vote in the September 14th primary.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.98% at the 95% confidence interval.     

The story in this race is the 10 point surge in support for Ovide Lamontagne since our last survey on September 1st.  His increase in support is broad, but not limited to any particular subgroup of voters.  He has improved his standing among every major voting subgroup in the state by 9 to 11 points.  Kelly Ayotte is still leading the race, and has increased her support by 1 to 3 points across major voting subgroups.  Clearly she has been successful “holding” her voters in place.     

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentaiton below.

NH US Senate GOP Primary Survey Press Release 091310

NH US Senate GOP Primary Survey Topline Results 091310

NH US Senate GOP Primary Survey Crosstabs 091310

NH US Senate GOP Primary Survey Presentation 091310

New Hampshire GOP Primary Survey (9/1/10)

In the New Hampshire contest for the Republican US Senate nomination, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 13 points, 34% to 21%.  Businessmen Bill Binnie and Jim Bender receive 17% and 13% respectively, the generic “another candidate” has 4%, and 11% are undecided.  These results are based on an automated survey of 887 interviews of likely Republican and independent primary voters who intend to vote in the September 14th primary.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.3% at the 95% confidence interval.  The interviews for the survey were conducted on Wednesday night, September 1st.  

There is little difference in the ballot test between men and women, but a significant difference in candidate support between Republican and independent voters.  Among all Republican voters, Kelly Ayotte leads Ovide Lamontagne by 16 points, 37% to 21%.  Among independent voters, Kelly Ayotte has a 2 point lead on Bill Binnie, 26% to 24%, and Ovide Lamontagne is a close third with 21%.  The ballot test among self described fiscal conservatives is similar to the overall ballot test, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne, 33% to 23%.  Among self described social conservatives it is a tighter race, with Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 5 points, 32% to 27%.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Release 090110

NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Topline Results 090110

NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Crosstabs 090110

NH GOP US Senate Primary Survey Presentation 090110

 

Colorado Governor, Attorney General, Treasurer and Secretary of State Survey (8/31/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of a 954N automated survey likely general election voters in Colorado conducted August 25th and August 26th.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence interval.  The survey includes  image ratings and a ballot test in the election for Governor, and ballot tests in the elections for Attorney General, Treasurer and Secretary of State.

In the election for Colorado Governor, among likely voters Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper leads Republican nominee Dan Maes by 19 points, 46% to 27%, and former Congressman Tom Tancredo is third with 17%.  The generic “another candidate” receives 3% support, and 6% are undecided.  These results are not much of a surprise, confirming Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, at this time, is in good position to win in a three way race with Dan Maes and Tom Tancredo.  Looking at how the Republican vote breaks, we find Dan Maes leading Tom Tancredo by 32 points, 55% to 23%, and John Hickenlooper with 13%.  Among unaffiliated voters John Hickenlooper leads by 26 points over Tom Tancredo 49% to 23%, and Dan Maes is third with 17%.

Download the survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.    

Colorado Statewide Survey Press Release 083010

Colorado Statewide Survey Topline Results 083110

Colorado Statewide Survey Crosstabs 083110

Colorado Statewide Survey Presentation Release 083110

Colorado 7th Congressional District Survey (8/27/10)

Among likely general election voters in the 7th Congressional District of Colorado Republican candidate Ryan Frazier has a one point lead over Democrat Congressman Ed Perlmutter, 40% to 39% respectively.  Ten percent of voters support “another candidate” and 11% are undecided.  The ballot test results are based on an automated survey of 830 likely general election voters in the 7th Congressional District fielded Thursday, August 26th.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence interval.  Ryan Frazier has an 8 point lead among male voters and Ed Perlmutter leads by 4 points among women.  Among the key voting subgroup of unaffiliated voters, Ryan Frazier leads by 10 points, 37% to 27%.

Download the survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below. 

CO 7th Congressional District Survey Release 082710

CO CD07 Survey Topline Results 082710

CO CD07 Survey Crosstabs 082710

CO CD7 Survey Presentation 082710

Missouri US Senate Purgason-Carnahan Survey (7/30/10)

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 1,234N autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Missouri.  The interviews were conducted July 30th, 2010.  This survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.79% at the 95 percent confidence interval.  This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 general election cycles.  The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from a Missouri voter file.

Download survey topline results, crosstabs and presentation below.

Missouri US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results 073010

Missouri US Senate General Election Survey Crosstabs 073010

Missouri US Senate General Election Survey Presentation 073010

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