Final Colorado 2016 Returned Ballot Report Nov 9th

A Final Review of Colorado Ballot Returns on November 9th

I think it is safe to say we are not the only ones in total shock this morning in Colorado. We will be saving our breath on providing analysis of Colorado’s results until that data is certified.  But we can provide you with a final look at the voter turnout demographics in Colorado for the 2016 election.

Republican Ended Up Returning More Ballots Than Democrats

The total number of ballots returned comes to 2,803,566. Republican voters returned 944,812 ballots, the Democrats returned 915,090 and unaffiliated voters cast 895,324.  It appears Republicans ended up outpacing Democrats in ballots returned by 29,722.

The Party and Age Range Voter Turnout Demographics Did Not Change From 2012

The percentage of the vote by party was 33.7% Republican, 32.6% Democrat and 31.9% unaffiliated. These percentages are nearly identical to 2012, when turnout by party was 34.6% Republican, 32.9% Democrat, 31.3% unaffiliated. There was also very little change in voter turnout by age range since 2012. Voters aged 18 to 34 contributed 24.78% of the total vote, and in 2012 that percentage was 32.10%. Seniors aged 65 and older contributed 21.79% to the total vote. In 2012 they contributed 21.1% of the total vote. Apparently Colorado going to an all-mail-ballot voting method in a Presidential election made no difference in voter turnout since 2012.

We hope you enjoyed our ballot return reports this election cycle, and look forward to producing relevant political content about Colorado politics on a regular basis.

Thanks

David Flaherty, Magellan Strategies

 

2016 Colorado Ballot Return Reports Data Description

For the remaining days of the election, (not including weekends), Magellan Strategies will be posting daily demographic reports of Colorado ballot returns. To access the report, just click the green button above. The first page of the report breaks out all votes returned by gender, age range, congressional district, the largest 12 counties by population and general election vote history. The breakout of vote history is defined as follows:

Explanation of Vote History Section

0/4 – Registered voters that have no history of voting in an even-year general election in Colorado. They are mostly new registrants and voters that moved to Colorado since the November 2014 general election.

1/4 – Registered voters that voted in 1 of the past 4 general elections, (2014, 2012, 2010, 2008).

2/4 – Registered voters that voted in 2 of the past 4 general elections, (2014, 2012, 2010, 2008).

3/4 – Registered voters that voted in 3 of the past 4 general elections, (2014, 2012, 2010, 2008).

4/4 – Registered voters that voted in 4 of the past 4 general elections, (2014, 2012, 2010, 2008).

Second Page of Report Compares 2016 Ballots Returned to Same Time of 2012 Early and Absentee Votes Cast

The second page of the report compares the demographics of the current ballots returned to the same period during the 2012 general election. Everyone using these reports should understand that this is not a perfect comparison, since Colorado is now an all-mail ballot state and in 2012 it was not. However, a large number of votes were cast during early voting or by absentee during the 2012 election, and we believe this report provides valuable and insightful information.

Any questions or media requests regarding these reports should be directed to Ryan Winger at rwinger@magellanstrategies.com or David Flaherty at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com. You can also call our office at 303-861-8585.

By | 2017-05-24T03:25:52+00:00 October 24th, 2016|