In this episode we discuss what really happens during a recount, and then try to give at least some explanation for what happened with political polling this year and why very few were predicting a victory for Donald Trump.
Segment #1 – Recounts
- What does a recount mean?
- What does the process look like?
- What is unique about these recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania?
Segment #2 What Went Wrong With The Polls?
- Where were the polls wrong? Why were they wrong?
- Was the problem more with the idea of modeling/forecasting, rather than the polling itself?
Segment #3 How to Fix The Polls
- What is the solution?
- How much longer will telephone-only surveys be viable?
- Recap the issues with online sample/panels?
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