In this episode the team discusses the data and trends behind the decline of voters identifying with the Republican Party, why we think this is happening and our thoughts on the final presidential debate. This includes taking a look at the raw numbers for the Republican Party, exploring why exactly voters are leaving the party, and how our numbers from the past 10 years reflect that.

Segment #1 – The Data Doesn’t Lie, Voter Registration

Colorado Active and Inactive September 9th, 2016
Rep – 1,140,173, 30.99%
Dem – 1,160,214, 31.53%
Ind – 1,318,043, 35.8%
Total – 3,678,714

Colorado Active and Inactive January 1 2016
Rep – 1,097,379, 31.07%
Dem – 1,084,171, 30.70%
Ind – 1,297,612, 36.7%
Total – 3,531,131

Colorado Registration Changes Since January 1, 2016
Rep – 42,794, 30.7%
Dem – 76,043, 54.6%
Ind – 20,431, 14.7%
Total – 139,268

Colorado Active and Inactive January 1, 2013
Rep – 1,156,440, 31.64%
Dem – 1,154,308, 31.5%
Ind – 1,297,475, 35.5%
Total – 3,654,192

Colorado Active and Inactive December 31st, 2008
Rep – 1,068,070, 33.1%
Dem – 1,061,083, 32.9%
Ind – 1,071,334, 33.2%
Total – 3,220,218

Colorado Active and Inactive December 15, 2006
Rep – 1,072,687, 35.5%
Dem – 907,692, 30.1%
Ind – 1,020,133, 33.8%
Total – 3,013,293

North Carolina, September 24th, 2016
Rep – 2,035,421, 30.23%
Dem – 2,680,107, 39.84%
Ind/Unaf – 1,986,486, 29.5%
Libertarian – 29,752
Total – 6,731,766

North Carolina, January 1, 2016
Rep – 1,960,455 30.46%
Dem – 2,631,126, 40.88%
Ind/Unaf – 1,816,104, 28.21%
Libertarian – 27,862
Total – 6,435,547

North Carolina Registration Changes Since January 1, 2016
Rep – 74,966, 25.4%
Dem – 48,981, 16.6%
Ind – 170,832, 57.9%
Total – 294,779

North Carolina, January 5, 2013
Rep – 2,027,830 30.83%
Dem – 2,837,715, 43.14%
Ind/Unaf – 1,691,657, 25.7%
Libertarian – 19,961
Total – 6,577,163

North Carolina, January 5, 2009
Rep – 2,005,149, 31.92%
Dem – 2,869,838, 45.68%
Ind – 1,402,725, 22.32%
Libertarian – 4,145
Total – 6,281,857

North Carolina, June 2, 2007
Rep – 1,904,282, 34.48%
Dem – 2,492,703, 45.13%
Ind – 1,125,425, 20.37%
Libertarian – 0
Total – 5,522,410

Iowa Active and Inactive September 1th, 2016
Rep – 691,720, 32.48%
Dem – 672,953, 31.60%
No Party – 755,568, 35.48%
Other – 8,881
Total – 2,129,122

Iowa Active and Inactive January 4th, 2016
Rep – 647,696, 30.98%
Dem – 633,376, 30.30%
No Party – 800,991 38.31%
Other – 7,555
Total – 2,090,298

Iowa Active Change Since January 4, 2016
Rep – 44,024, %
Dem – 39,577, %
No Party – (-45,423), %
Other – 1,326
Total – 38,824 NET

Iowa, January 2, 2013
Rep – 677,285, 30.78%
Dem – 701,728, 31.89%
No Party – 817,810, 37.1%
Other – 3,424
Total – 2,200,247

Iowa, January 2, 2009
Rep – 629,495, 28.96%
Dem – 745,412, 34.29%
No Party – 796,905, 36.66%
Other – 1,436
Total – 2,173,248

Iowa, January 5, 2007
Rep – 621,730, 29.95%
Dem – 644,690, 31.06%
No Party – 809,151, 38.98%
Other – 000
Total – 2,075,571

Pennsylvania, Sept 19, 2016
Rep – 3,186,319, 37.81%
Dem – 4,105,038, 48.72%
No Affiliation – 690,161, 8.19%
Other – 444,066, 5.27%
Total – 8,425,584

Pennsylvania, Nov 3, 2015 (good)
Rep – 2,980,464, 36.91%
Dem – 3,973,115, 49.21%
No Affiliation/Other – 1,119,596, 13.86%
Total – 8,073,175

PA Change, November 3rd to Sept 19
Rep – 205,855, 58.41%
Dem – 131,923, 37.43%
No Affiliation/Other – 14,631, 4.1%
Total – 352,409

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) – April 21st, Final statistics from Pennsylvania elections officials show that nearly 165,000 voters switched their registration this year. The biggest amount was Democrats switching registration to Republican. The state’s figures became final this week, when counties finished forwarding their registration records. That amounts to 2 percent of all registered voters in Pennsylvania.

About 92,000 switched to Republican. More than 61,000 of those were Democrats. More than 63,000 switched to the Democratic Party. About 43,000 of those were Republicans. The rest joined a third party or became unaffiliated. Many switchers reported wanting to vote in Pennsylvania’s closed presidential primary elections on Tuesday. This primary election is the first one in which registrations could be switched online.

Republican registration is up 5.5 percent over a year ago to 3.1 million. Democratic registration is up 2.5 percent to almost 4.1 million.

Arizona, Active and Inactive, August 30, 2016
Rep – 1,322,003 33.5%
Dem – 1,163,111, 29.5%
Independent/Other – 1,417,151, 35.9%
Libertarian/Green Party – 39,645, 1.0%
Total – 3,941,910

Arizona, Active and Inactive, January 1, 2016
Rep – 1,244,283, 32.8%
Dem – 1,067,583, 28.1%
Independent/Other – 1,441,009, 38.0%
Lib/Grn – 37,980, 1.0%
Total – 3,790,805

Arizona, Changes Since January 1, 2016
Rep – 77,720, 32.8%
Dem – 95,528, 28.1%
Independent/Other – (-23,858),
Lib/Grn – 1,665, 1.0%
Total – 151,105

Arizona, Active and Inactive, January 1, 2013
Rep – 1,270,903, 34.2%
Dem – 1,124,695, 30.2%
Independent/Other – 1,282,867, 34.5%
Lib/Grn – 35,403, 1.0%
Total – 3,714,143

Arizona, Active and Inactive, January 1, 2009
Rep – 1,258,728, 36.5%
Dem – 1,159,754, 33.6%
Independent/Other – 996,988, 28.9%
Lib/Grn – 27,381, 1.0%
Total – 3,443,215

Arizona, Active and Inactive, October 1, 2006
Rep – 1,176,584, 38.4%
Dem – 1,010,451, 33.0%
Independent/Other – 851,806, 27.8%
Lib/Grn – 22,699, 1.0%
Total – 3,061,540

Segment #2 – What Do Unaffiliated FEMALE Voters Think of the Republican Party?

  • 2014 Post Election Research with Colorado Women’s Alliance

Segment #3 – Comments About the Presidential Debate

  • Courtney, Ryan, and Dave discuss their thoughts on the presidential race and tonight’s final debate.