Republicans Hate Republicans – It’s Even Worse Than You Thought
This post is our last data release from a Survey of likely Republican Primary voters in CO that was fielded on April 5th and 6th (margin of error +/- 3.97%). To reiterate, Magellan Strategies fielded this survey with our own resources and it was not paid for by any candidate, campaign, committee, independent expenditure group or individual. We are releasing the results of this survey so that Magellan clients both here in Colorado and around the country have some research data measuring the views and opinions of the Republican primary voter during this very unique election cycle.
As Donald Trump continued to gain support as a political outsider running decidedly against the Republican establishment, we wanted to measure the extent to which Colorado’s likely Republican Primary voters agree with Trump’s views regarding the Party generally and Republican politicians in Washington in particular. Basically we wanted to find out: Do Republicans hate Republicans? The findings provide further evidence of a real divide within the Republican Party.
Republican Primary Voters Overwhelmingly Have an Unfavorable Opinion of the Republican Party
We posed the simple question to these Republican Primary voters: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party? A clear majority, 56%, responded that they have an unfavorable opinion, compared to only 36% with a favorable opinion and 8% undecided. This Republican dissatisfaction with their party is clearly one of the driving forces behind Donald Trump’s support, as 60% of those with an unfavorable opinion of the party have a favorable opinion of him. In contrast, less than half of them (47%) have a favorable opinion of Ted Cruz. As the findings released in our original blog post show, these voters have a desire to nominate someone who is not a politician, and part of that feeling surely comes from their unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party.
Republican Primary Voter Opinion on the GOP House, Senate, Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell
Next, we wanted to determine the degree to which this dissatisfaction with the Republican Party extends to the U.S. House, the U.S. Senate and Washington, DC political figures. We asked respondents whether they approve or disapprove of the job that Republicans are doing managing the United States House of Representatives, and then asked the same question for the United States Senate. The approval rating for the GOP-led Senate is especially striking – 71% of these likely Republican Primary voters disapprove of the job Republicans are doing managing the Senate.
This is despite the fact that, as the survey also found, 80% of these voters support the Senate majority’s decision to refuse to hold confirmation hearings for Merrick Garland. So even though they overwhelmingly support the Senate’s actions on that high-profile issue, it is not enough to overcome their disapproval with the Republican Senate in general. As Senate Majority Leader, it’s no surprise that Mitch McConnell’s image also suffers, as 66% of these likely Republican voters have an unfavorable opinion of him, compared to only 13% favorable.
The Republican House does not fare much better: 59% disapprove of the job they are doing, while only 30% approve. Of the four Washington, DC institutions/political figures tested, only House Speaker Paul Ryan has a positive image rating, with 47% of voters having a favorable opinion of him and 41% with an unfavorable opinion. This is still not exactly encouraging given the fact that these respondents are all likely Republican Primary voters who one would think should have a more favorable opinion of the Party’s 2012 Vice Presidential nominee.
While there is an argument to be had whether Donald Trump is simply capitalizing on a preexisting anti-establishment, anti-Washington sentiment among Republican Primary voters or whether his campaign is actually responsible for that sentiment (in reality it is a mix of the two), there is no doubt that the two phenomena are related. Republican Primary voters are tired of sending Republican politicians to Washington and not seeing results, and they are more than willing to see if Donald Trump would fare better.
Thanks to all of our readers for the continued interest in this research. You can download the full toplines and crosstabs at the links below.