New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey (10/14/11)

Magellan Strategies and NHJournal.com today released the results of a New Hampshire landline autodial survey of 736 likely Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary. The survey was commissioned by NHJournal.com.

Since our last survey in mid-August the Republican Presidential field has had the opportunity to introduce themselves to voters in five televised debates and spend time campaigning in New Hampshire. The ballot test has changed in the past two months, with positive movement among primary voters for Herman Cain (+17%) and moderate movement for Mitt Romney (+5%). Incremental positive movement is also evident for Jon Huntsman (+3%) and Newt Gingrich (+4%). Candidates that have lost support include Rick Perry (-16%), Michele Bachmann (-6%), and Ron Paul (-4%).

Download survey release, toplines and crosstabs below.

Magellan New Hampshire 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Release 101411

New Hampshire 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results 101411

New Hampshire 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 101411

Pennsylvania 2012 General Election Survey (9/19/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 702 likely 2012 Pennsylvania general election voters.

The survey finds Barack Obama comfortably leading potential Republican challengers Mitt Romney by 10 points (50% to 40%) and Rick Perry by 15 points (52% to 37%). The President has solid support among voters that overwhelmingly backed him in 2008, including women, voters aged 18 to 34, and self-described moderate voters. It is clear from this survey that those key voting subgroups are still very much with him. Despite this good news for Barack Obama, the mood of these voters is pessimistic, with 62% of women, 64% of self-described moderates, and 54% of voters 18 to 34 feeling things in the country are on the wrong track. It remains to be seen if the eventual Republican nominee can appeal to these voters after the primary.

With that said, it should be noted that Pennsylvania is very tough ground for any Republican Presidential candidate, with statewide voter registration at 51% Democrat, 37% Republican and 12% independent/other. Although Pennsylvania has elected many Republican candidates to statewide office, the last time a Republican Presidential candidate carried the state was in 1988.

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs, and presentation below

Pennsylvania 2012 General Election Survey Release 091911

Pennsylvania 2012 General Election Survey Topline Results 091911

Pennsylvania 2012 General Election Survey Crosstabs 091911

Pennsylvania 2012 General Election Survey Presentation 091911

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey (9/12/11)

CORRECTION TO CROSSTABS AS OF 4:42EST, SEPTEMBER 12TH , 2011

Our initial set of crosstabs this morning contained an error in the “Other” column under the ”RACE” tabs. The initial set of crosstabs showed the same number of BLACK respondents (194), in the OTHER column within the RACE category. This errror has been corrected, and the tabs now show the correct number of OTHER respondents as 18. THIS ERROR CORRECTION DOES NOT CHANGE THE RESPONSE PERCENTAGES FOR ANY QUESTION IN THE SURVEY. The error only reflected an incorrect number of respondents for “other” responses within the race category. Any further questions regarding this error should be directed to David Flaherty at 303-861-8585 or dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com.

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 923 likely 2012 North Carolina general election voters. The survey finds likely 2012 North Carolina voters in a very pessimistic mood, with 70% thinking the country is off on the wrong track, and only 23% thinking things are headed in the right direction. Independent voters feel slightly worse than all respondents, with only 13% believing that things are headed in the right direction.

The Obama-Romney ballot test finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by 2 points, 45% to 43% respectively, a statistical tie. Looking at the results by major voter subgroup, we see Barack Obama doing well among female voters and very well among African-American voters. Mitt Romney is doing well among seniors, independents, voters aged 18 to 34, and white voters.

The Obama-Perry ballot test finds Barack Obama leading Rick Perry by 5 points, with 48% of respondents supporting the President, and 43% supporting Rick Perry.

The Perdue-McCrory ballot test finds Pat McCrory leading Governor Perdue by 1 point, a statistical tie, with 44% of respondents supporting Pat McCrory, and 43%, supporting Beverly Perdue. Pat McCrory is doing well among independents, voters aged 18-34 and white voters, and Beverly Perdue does well among African American voters.

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs, and presentation below

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey Release 091211

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey Topline Results 091211

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey Crosstabs 091211

North Carolina 2012 General Election Survey Presentation 091211

Nevada 2012 Republican Presidential Caucus Survey (9/2/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 631 likely 2012 Nevada Republican Presidential caucus attendees. The survey finds Rick Perry leading Mitt Romney by 5 points. Among all voters, Rick Perry has 29% support and Mitt Romney has 24% support. The rest of the Republican field rounds out with Herman Cain with 7%, Michele Bachmann with 6%, Ron Paul with 6%, Newt Gingrich with 5%, Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman with 1% each, the generic “other candidate” with 2%, and 19% are undecided.

Download survey release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

Nevada 2012 Republican Presidential Caucus Survey Release 090211

Nevada 2012 Republican Presidential Caucus Survey Topline Results 090111

Nevada 2012 Republican Presidential Caucus Survey Crosstabs 090111

Nevada 2012 Republican Presidential Caucus Survey Presentation 090111

South Carolina 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey (8/26/11)

Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 637 likely 2012 Republican primary voters in South Carolina. The survey finds Rick Perry leading Mitt Romney by 11 points. Among all voters, Rick Perry has 31%, Mitt Romney has 20%, and Michele Bachmann is third with 14%. The rest of the Republican field rounds out with Herman Cain with 9%, Newt Gingrich with 5%, Ron Paul and the “Other Candidate” with 4%, Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman with 2%, and 9% undecided.

Download survey press release, toplines, crosstabs and presentation below.

South Carolina 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Release 082611

South Carolina 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results 082611

South Carolina 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Crosstabs 082611

South Carolina 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Survey Presentation 082611

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